Emissões fugitivas de gases de efeito estufa de um aterro sanitário :estudo de caso do Centro de Tratamento de Resíduos de Macaé

Abstract

In a sector of high initial investments and slow ripening, ensuring energy security, tariff reasonable and universal access and use of electricity, has as a requirement foreseen the amounts of energy and power necessary for the full functioning of the system in the future. In addition to the systemic importance, the demand forecasting is part of the operating strategies of the various agents in the sector. Among the various uncertainties in the forecast, climatic uncertainty stands out, especially in a scenario of climate change and increased ownership of equipment whose drive is responsive to the weather. Although the theme has been addressed since the last century, the literature deals with a problem partially, establishing functional forms pre-defined to the relationship between climate and energy demand, which are not generally applicable to the plurality of Brazilian climates. In addition, there is hegemony of use restricted to the temperature of the outside air as a dependent variable, which neglects the effect of several other variables, not only climatic but also behavioral and constructive. Thus, the present dissertation aims to analyze the influence of the scalable and holistic effect on the demand for electricity in Brazil, proposing a methodology of national applicability considering influential variables. In this way this dissertation corroborates for the demand forecasting activities of agents and institutions in the electricity sector.