Uma estrutura para avaliar os impactos dinâmicos da política nacional de mobilidade urbana em sistemas socioeconômicos de transporte

Abstract

Transportation planning is necessary to meet the demand of a given region considering the dimensions of urban space and the complexity of the activities developed on it. In addition to planning, the government intervention through policies to provide an adequate flow of people and goods to meet population demand is also important. In Brazil, the Brazilian Urban Mobility Policy (BUMP) aims to integrate different modes of transportation and improve accessibility and mobility in urban space. Thus, this study presents a decision support model, using System Dynamics as a modeling and simulation tool, to evaluate the impacts of BUMP implementation, focusing on environmental, economic and traffic variables. In order to verify the applicability of the proposed model, a case study was carried out in the city of Rio de Janeiro. The results indicate the importance of encouraging non-motorized trips and the reduction of the number of trips performed by individual vehicles. Besides that, there is a need to apply the Transportation Demand Management strategies to reduce negative transport externalities and, consequently, to increase the efficiency of the urban transport system.